User blog comment:RobinCarr/Proposal for New Presentation of Fusion Success Probabilities/@comment-5039776-20120825074718

Good start Robin. It can certainly be used in the fusion area, perhaps with tighter wording as you suggested on my message wall.

Possibly also need to go into crystal cost once fusion starts, but that is just a linear hurry cost, if I am right and does nothing to guarantee the success of the fusion.

Are we certain the probability is an arithmetic and not geometric mean?