User blog comment:BonesMcGee/Brainstorm: Potential savings in using the hurry hatch trick/@comment-5116140-20120823034757

First Prediction for Bones HH Data

First prediction is based on the First quartile see how it is 12 in the table. That says approximately 1/4 of your points will be 12 or less. Does that agree roughly with your data?

We justr need to count.

>> a. How many times did you get the rare egg in 12 or less tries?

>> b. How many total eggs have you gotten so far?

>> c. Is that ratio about 1/4?

If it is, you have confirmed the prediction based on the first quartile.